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亚利桑那州城的社会-生态-技术系统的相互依赖:极端降水事件的后果
Alysha Helmrich1, Amanda Kuhn2, Anaís Roque3
1College of Engineering, University of Georgia, Athens, GA USA.
概括
将关键基础设施分析为社会-生态-技术系统 (SETS) 揭示了关键的干扰和反循环. 这种方法通过识别系统的弱点和适应策略来增强城市对气候变化影响的抵御力.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 城市规划 城市规划
- 系统工程 系统工程
背景情况:
- 关键基础设施 (CI) 是复杂的适应性系统,具有相互连接的社会,生态和技术组成部分.
- 传统的CI分析往往忽略了这些组件之间的相互作用,导致干扰期间的意外后果.
- 了解CI作为社会-生态-技术系统 (SETS) 对于增强性至关重要,尤其是在面对气候变化的情况下.
研究的目的:
- 评估极端降水事件对城市关键基础设施的影响.
- 在社会生态技术系统 (SETS) 中识别破坏途径和反循环.
- 为了说明融合研究在理解复杂的城市系统中的有用性.
主要方法:
- 基于与研究人员和从业人员的半结构化采访,开发了一个因果循环图.
- 对因果循环图进行了交叉验证,并进行了全面的文献审查.
- 分析了亚利桑那州城的一个特定的极端降水事件,以映射系统相互作用.
主要成果:
- 因果循环图包括19个组件,揭示了数百个反循环和级联失败.
- 地表排水,透,水体,电力,水和运输基础设施被确定为维护系统服务的关键.
- 破坏途径突出显示了系统中的脆弱性,并提出了适应气候变化的领域.
结论:
- 分析关键基础设施作为SETS为综合决策提供了一个整体的视角.
- 可以利用SETS内部的反循环来缓解故障的根本原因.
- 这种融合研究方法提供了一个有价值的工具,用于导航复杂的城市系统在人类世.
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