"T1D指数:初步结果的影响,数据限制和未来发展趋势"
Graham D Ogle1,2, Gabriel A Gregory3,4,5, Fei Wang4
1Life for a Child Program, Diabetes NSW, 26 Arundel St., Glebe, Sydney, New South Wales, 2037, Australia. gogle@diabetesaustralia.com.au.
Current diabetes reports
|August 23, 2023
概括
据T1D指数估计,2021年全球1型糖尿病 (T1D) 病例为840万例,因未确诊和不充分护理而导致的死亡率很高. 改善数据和护理准入对于减少1型糖尿病患者丧失的生命年数至关重要.
科学领域:
- 全球卫生健康 全球卫生健康
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 内分泌学 在内分泌学.
背景情况:
- 关于1型糖尿病 (T1D) 发病率,流行率和死亡率的全球数据有限,特别是在低收入和中等收入国家.
- 这就需要一个全面的工具来估计T1D的全球负担.
研究的目的:
- 审查T1D指数的方法,局限性,发现和未来方向.
- 通过一种新的建模方法,评估1型糖尿病的全球负担.
主要方法:
- 使用马尔科夫数学模型,机器学习和可用数据开发T1D指数.
- 估计1型糖尿病的全球流行率,死亡率和护理水平.
主要成果:
- 估计2021年全球患病率为840万,年龄在20岁以下的人为150万.
- 鉴定了35,000名年轻人因未被诊断而死亡的估计死亡人数,以及435,000人接受最低限度的护理.
- 对于10岁时被诊断出患病的人来说,健康调整后丧失的寿命年数从14岁到55岁不等.
结论:
- 迫切需要采取干预措施,以减少T1D因非诊断而导致的死亡人数,并改善医疗护理的准入.
- 由于数据有限,存在重大不确定性;改善数据质量和可用性至关重要.
- 为了提高准确性,T1D指数将定期更新新的数据.
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