热带森林正在接近临界温度值
Christopher E Doughty1, Jenna M Keany2, Benjamin C Wiebe2
1School of Informatics, Computing, and Cyber Systems, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, USA. chris.doughty@nau.edu.
Nature
|August 23, 2023
概括
热带树叶可以达到临界温度,接近气温上升4.0°C的临界点. 这凸显了迫切需要采取气候行动来保护重要的森林生态系统.
科学领域:
- 植物生理学和气候变化对热带生态系统的影响.
背景情况:
- 热带树木光合作用的临界温度 (Tcrit) 约为46.7°C.
- 目前的叶子温度和气候变化对达到这一门的影响仍然不确定.
研究的目的:
- 评估热带森林当前和未来的叶子温度相对于光合作用关键温度.
- 确定热带森林能承受的潜在气温上升之前的代谢功能临界点.
主要方法:
- 使用叶子热电偶,气体测量仪和遥感器 (ECOSTRESS) 来测量热带天花板的温度.
- 在巴西,波多黎各和澳大利亚进行了受控的叶子加热实验 (+2-4°C).
- 开发并验证了使用实验数据预测代谢转折点的经验模型.
主要成果:
- 在干旱时期,天花板的高峰温度达到~34°C,尾部超过40°C.
- 在当前条件下,上层树叶超过Tcrit的0.01%.
- 升温实验显示,树叶的峰值温度在1.3%的时间内超过Tcrit,在升温时的比例更高.
- 经验模型预测在新陈代谢临界点之前,空气温度增加的容忍度为3.9±0.5°C.
结论:
- 热带森林面临一个关键的临界点, 气温可能上升3.9°C.
- 这一估计与最坏的气候变化情景 (RCP 8.5) 相一致.
- 缓解气候变化 (例如避免RCP 6.0或8.5) 对于这些重要生态系统的生存至关重要.
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