从有效性测试中对恶意攻击进行法医预测中的统计和方法问题进行审查:第一部分:统计问题
1The Chicago School of Professional Psychology at Xavier University of Louisiana, Box 200, 1 Drexel Dr, New Orleans, LA, 70125, USA. chleonhard@yahoo.com.
Neuropsychology review
|August 23, 2023
概括
法医神经心理学有效性测试经常为检测模仿提供冗余信息. 统计分析显示,目前的方法可能错过了准确性目标,需要改进报告和诊断算法.
科学领域:
- 神经心理学 神经心理学
- 法医心理学 法医心理学
- 心理测量 心理测量 心理测量
背景情况:
- 在法医环境中,恶意检测依赖于众多的有效性测试.
- 成千上万的研究都专注于验证这些测试.
- 本综述的第I部分讨论了有效性测试验证中的统计问题.
研究的目的:
- 探索验证模仿神经心理测试的统计问题.
- 检查分类准确性统计,对线性和算法评估.
- 为改善法医评估中的诊断准确性提供建议.
主要方法:
- 统计问题的概念分析.
- 统计模拟以模拟测试性能.
- 重新分析先前验证研究中现有的发现.
主要成果:
- 神经心理学有效性测试经常是对线的,提供冗余的预测信息.
- 现有的诊断算法可能无法在现实的法医场景中达到准确性目标.
- 当前的验证实践可能无法完全捕捉分类准确性.
结论:
- 对于诊断试验,建议使用具有置信区间的完全混矩阵统计.
- 建议用于改进预测建模的物流回归.
- 建议采用个人预后或诊断 (TRIPOD) 多变量预测模型的透明报告.
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