加拿大遗传性癌症服务推增加对劳动力的影响:基于场景的分析分析
Nick Dragojlovic1, Kennedy Borle1, Nicola Kopac1
1Collaboration for Outcomes Research and Evaluation, Faculty of Pharmaceutical Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z3, Canada.
到2030年,加拿大将需要90名专科医生和326名遗传咨询师来提供遗传性癌症服务. 如果资格扩大,需求将激增,需要创新的护理模式来满足未来的遗传医疗保健需求.
科学领域:
- 医学遗传学 医学遗传学
- 医疗卫生工作人员规划规划
- 在瘤学瘤学.
背景情况:
- 临床遗传学服务的使用量急剧增加,给医疗保健工作人员带来了压力.
- 目前的护理模式在满足日益增长的遗传医疗需求方面面临着挑战.
研究的目的:
- 预测2030年在加拿大对遗传性癌症风险评估的劳动力需求.
- 模拟在各种场景下需要的遗传咨询师和专家医生的数量.
主要方法:
- 基于需求的劳动力需求模型的开发.
- 预计到2030年需要遗传性癌症风险评估的患者数量.
- 基于当前趋势和加速的资格扩张的场景分析.
主要成果:
- 预计到2030年需要90名专科医生和326名遗传咨询师 (分别增加1.7倍和1.6倍).
- 如果遗传性癌症评估资格扩大,需求将大幅增加.
- 没有替代护理策略,目前的模型是不够的.
结论:
- 加拿大卫生系统必须应对对遗传医疗专业人员的需求大幅增加.
- 在服务提供和主流化癌症遗传学护理方面的创新至关重要.
- 替代护理模式对于管理预计的劳动力需求至关重要.
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