超越颗粒物:关于空气污染对死亡率的因果关系的新证据
Maoyong Fan1, Hanchen Jiang2, Maigeng Zhou3
1Department of Economics, Ball State University, USA.
Journal of health economics
|August 27, 2023
概括
减少二氧化硫 (SO2) 污染会显著降低老年人和幼儿的死亡率. 这种环境政策显示出了大量的健康益处,超过了经济成本.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- 全球电力需求推动了煤炭消费,增加了二氧化硫 (SO2) 污染.
- 二氧化碳污染与不良健康结果之间的因果关系仍然不够确立,特别是在发展中国家.
研究的目的:
- 通过大规模的中国环境监管政策来估计SO2污染对死亡的影响.
- 量化SO2排放量减少对健康的好处.
主要方法:
- 利用中国的国家环境政策,旨在减少二氧化排放.
- 估计了SO2度变化对不同年龄组死亡率的因果关系.
主要成果:
- SO2度降低1μg/m3与每10万年龄在60岁以上的人每年心血管疾病死亡人数减少18人 (降低0.9%) 相相关.
- 同样减少的SO2也导致每10万5岁以下儿童每年死亡人数减少2人 (减少1.5%).
结论:
- 实施的环境政策带来了显著的公共卫生效益,特别是减少死亡率.
- 据估计,减少二氧化所带来的整体健康益处超过了政策的经济成本.
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