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模糊性的替代类型及其对气候变化监管的影响
Phoebe Koundouri1, Nikitas Pittis2, Panagiotis Samartzis2
1School of Economics, Athens University of Economics and Business, Athens, Greece.
Open research Europe
|August 30, 2023
概括
气候变化监管的模糊性,特别是尊重和优惠类型,显著影响温室气体 (GHG) 排放和环境政策的制定. 了解这些模两可,对于有效的气候政策至关重要.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 气候政策分析 气候政策分析
- 决策理论 决策理论
背景情况:
- 气候变化监管面临的挑战是由于固有的不确定性.
- 决策者,专家和社会之间的互动引入了复杂的动态.
- 两个关键类型的模两可,尊重和偏好,被确定为关键因素.
研究的目的:
- 分析对温室气体 (GHG) 排放的尊重和偏好模糊性的影响.
- 调查这些模两可的情况如何影响环境政策的形成.
- 了解气候调节中因子相互作用产生的概率效应.
主要方法:
- 代理互动的分析:决策者 (DM),气候专家和社会.
- 检查两种不同的模两可的类型:偏爱和偏爱.
- 温室气体 (GHG) 排放和政策成果的概率模型.
主要成果:
- 关于DM对专家预测的选择的尊重性模糊性,影响了政策.
- 与辨别社会偏好相关的偏好模两可,也会影响政策.
- 这两种模糊类型都显著改变了温室气体排放和政策制定的概率性质.
结论:
- 尊重和偏爱的模两可的存在使气候变化监管产生了重大复杂性.
- 有效的环境政策必须考虑到这些特定类型的不确定性.
- 解决这些模两可,对于稳健,成功的温室气体排放管理至关重要.
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