功能和死亡风险的发展轨迹
Anna C van der Burgh1,2, Sanaz Sedaghat3, M Arfan Ikram2
1Department of Internal Medicine, Erasmus Medical Center, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
International journal of epidemiology
|August 31, 2023
概括
快速下降的功能显著增加死亡风险. 鉴定功能衰退的模式和决定因素对于有针对性的预防和风险人群的监测至关重要.
科学领域:
- 腎臟病學 (nephrology) 是一種醫學專業.
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 老年学是指老年学的学科.
背景情况:
- 功能下降是老年人群的重大健康问题.
- 了解衰退的模式和预测因素对于公共卫生至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 确定45岁及以上成年人功能下降的不同轨迹.
- 确定影响这些轨迹的因素.
- 评估功能下降模式与全因死亡风险之间的关联.
主要方法:
- 隐性类轨迹建模用于基于人口的队列.
- 数据包括1997-2018年基于肌素的估计球过率 (eGFR).
- 从45岁开始计算累积死亡率.
主要成果:
- 确定了四种eGFR轨迹:缓慢下降,中等下降,快速下降和增加/稳定.
- 女性更有可能具有稳定的eGFR,而男性则表现出更高的快速衰退风险.
- 糖尿病,高血压和心血管疾病与中等或快速的EGFR下降有关.
- 快速的eGFR下降与最高的全因死亡风险相关 (68.8%的累积发病率在70岁).
结论:
- 性,高血压,糖尿病和心血管疾病是功能下降轨迹的关键决定因素.
- 功能快速下降是所有原因死亡率增加的强有力的预测因素.
- 针对性监测和预防策略对于那些面临快速EGFR下降风险的人来说至关重要.
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