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Conservation of Declining Populations02:07

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Small population sizes put a species at extreme risk of extinction due to a lack of variation, and a consequent decrease in adaptability. This weakens the chances of survival under pressures such as climate change, competition from other species, or new diseases. Large populations are more likely to survive pressures such as these, as such populations are more likely to harbor individuals that have genetic variants that are adaptive under new stresses. Small populations are much less...
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相关实验视频

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Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
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在私人土地上的永久保护计划中量化人口层面的保护影响.

Kaylan M Kemink1, Robert L Pressey2, Vanessa M Adams3

  • 1Ducks Unlimited Inc, 2525 River Road, Bismarck 58503, ND, United States; College of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Townsville 48114, Queensland, Australia.

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概括

小湿地采购计划 (SWAP) 在2008-2017年间对湿地保护的影响最小. 然而,它的长期治理可能会随着时间的推移产生更大的累积保护影响.

关键词:
增加价值的增加值.保护计划中的保护计划.反事实性的反事实.一个简易的扶手.水上鸟类 水上鸟类

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科学领域:

  • 生态保护 生态保护
  • 环境影响评估环境影响评估
  • 野生动物管理管理

背景情况:

  • 基于区域的保护目标是常见的,但可能不反映干预的有效性.
  • 影响评估通常侧重于森林砍伐,由于数据有限,对动态系统或各种结果的研究较少.
  • 当经验数据稀缺时,模拟可以估计程序效应.

研究的目的:

  • 为了估计美国的影响. 鱼类和野生动物局的小型湿地收购计划 (SWAP) 关于湿地面积和水鸟丰富度.
  • 为了模拟草原坑地区在十年内湿地排水的影响.
  • 为SWAP提供一个可信的程序效果大小范围.

主要方法:

  • 利用湿地排水的模拟来模拟计划的影响.
  • 专注于整个北达科他州,南达科他州和蒙大拿州的草原坑区.
  • 对湿地面积,繁殖水鸟和繁殖繁殖的量化影响.

主要成果:

  • 估计,由于SWAP (2008-2017年) 导致的和繁殖水禽的承载能力减少了0.00%至0.02%.
  • 表明短期的计划影响较低.
  • 强调由于SWAP的永恒性质,可能带来显著的长期累积保护效益.

结论:

  • 在短期内,SWAP对湿地和水鸟种群的直接影响有限.
  • 该计划的持续运行表明,未来有能力获得更大的累积保护成功.
  • 以区域为基础的指标与影响评估的补充,即使是通过模拟,对于理解保护有效性至关重要.