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海洋热浪对顶级捕食者分布的影响是可变的,但可以预测的
Heather Welch1,2, Matthew S Savoca3, Stephanie Brodie4,5
1NOAA, Southwest Fisheries Science Center, Environmental Research Division, Monterey, CA, USA. heather.welch@noaa.gov.
Nature communications
|September 5, 2023
概括
海洋热浪显著影响物种分布和息地,改变政治边界. 需要新的管理工具来应对这些极端气候事件及其对海洋生态系统的可变影响.
科学领域:
- 海洋生物学 海洋生物学
- 气候变化科学 气候变化科学
- 海洋学 海洋学 海洋学
背景情况:
- 海洋热浪带来了重大的环境和社会经济挑战.
- 了解物种对热浪变化的反应对于有效管理至关重要.
- 目前对热浪对海洋物种影响的知识有限.
研究的目的:
- 为了模拟近期海洋热浪对顶级捕食者分布的影响.
- 评估息地转移中的物种特异性和热浪特异性变化.
- 为极端气候事件的适应性管理策略的制定提供信息.
主要方法:
- 在东北太平洋模拟了四次主要海洋热浪 (2014年,2015年,2019年,2020年) 的影响.
- 分析了14种生态和商业上重要的顶级捕食者物种预测息地分布的变化.
- 跨政治管辖区的物种预测息地的量化变化.
主要成果:
- 物种对热浪的反应是高度可变的,息地变化从几乎完全的损失到两倍的增加.
- 个别的热浪导致预测总息地的高达10%转移司法管辖区.
- 由于热浪事件,政治生物地理的重大变化被观察到.
结论:
- 物种和热浪反应的高度变化需要适应性,快速响应的管理解决方案.
- 开发了一个动态的海洋管理工具,以几乎实时地预测捕食者分布和反应.
- 操作工具对于在极端气候条件下主动管理海洋生态系统至关重要.
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