情报是一个很差的预测能力无法恢复的不良预测器,以站在审判
Aaron J Kivisto1, Alexis Guynn1, Hallie Jenson1
1Graduate Department of Clinical Psychology, University of Indianapolis, Indianapolis, IN, USA.
Applied neuropsychology. Adult
|September 6, 2023
概括
标准化情报测试可以预测,如果被判无能力接受审判的被告 (IST) 可能不会恢复能力. 较低的全尺度智商得分与更长的恢复时间和更高的非恢复率相关.
科学领域:
- 法医心理学 法医心理学
- 神经心理学 神经心理学
- 法律心理学 法律心理学
背景情况:
- 被告被判无能力接受审判 (IST) 需要恢复能力.
- 恢复取决于在合理的时间内可能取得成功.
- 预测不可恢复性对于资源分配和法律诉讼至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 评估标准化智能测试的预测有效性,用于对IST被告的非恢复性进行分类.
- 评估全尺度智商 (FSIQ) 评分在预测恢复结果方面的测试准确性.
主要方法:
- 对293名男性患者的分析判断IST并承诺入院恢复.
- 使用标准化情报测试 (FSIQ分数).
- 采用时间到事件分析和计算的积极预测值.
主要成果:
- 随着FSIQ分数的下降,非恢复率显著增加 (平均FSIQ分数为17.0%,分数≥3SD低于平均值时高达59.5%).
- 患有较低FSIQ分数的患者的中位恢复时间明显更长 (145天与64天对比).
- 对于FSIQ分数的积极预测值通常很低,通常接近机会水平.
结论:
- FSIQ分数对于预测不可恢复性很重要,尤其是在 ≥3个标准偏差低于平均值的分数时.
- 基于FSIQ的个人预测无法恢复的准确性有限.
- 可能需要进一步的研究来改进能力恢复的预测模型.
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