基于年龄结构的SEIRV模型的最佳控制和稳定性分析,具有不完美的疫苗接种
Manoj Kumar1, Syed Abbas1, Abdessamad Tridane2
1School of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology Mandi, H. P. 175005, India.
Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE
|September 7, 2023
概括
本研究引入了针对不完善疫苗接种的传染病的年龄结构化的SEIRV模型. 这项研究确定了当值参数R0小于1时的无疾病平衡稳定性,指导了疫苗接种策略.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 数学生物学 数学生物学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 传染病控制在很大程度上依赖于疫苗接种计划.
- 数学建模对于理解疾病动态和评估干预措施至关重要.
- 发展具有不完美的疫苗接种的年龄结构模型对于现实的预测至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 提出和分析一个新的年龄结构的SEIRV数学模型,包括不完美的疫苗接种.
- 使用值参数 (R0) 确定疾病根除的条件.
- 确定和分析最佳的疫苗接种控制策略.
主要方法:
- 制定一个年龄结构化的SEIRV模型.
- 运算符半组的应用来证明解决方案的存在和独特性.
- 使用基本复制号 (R0) 的稳定性分析.
- 最佳控制理论,包括附加系统和灵敏度方程,以确定疫苗接种策略.
主要成果:
- 证明了模型解决方案的存在和独特性.
- 如果基本繁殖数 (R0) 小于1,那么无病平衡是稳定的.
- 获得了最佳的疫苗接种策略,优化了疫苗接种率.
- 证明了最佳控制的独特性.
结论:
- 拟议的SEIRV模型为分析免疫不完善的传染病提供了一个强大的框架.
- 实现R0 < 1对于通过疫苗接种消除疾病至关重要.
- 由此产生的最佳控制策略可以为有效的疫苗接种活动提供公共卫生政策的信息.
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