气候变化对河口分层的影响以及对浅浅的亚热带系统中缺氧的影响
Melissa S Duvall1,2, Brandon M Jarvis3, Yongshan Wan3
1ORISE Research Participation Program, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research and Development, 1 Sabine Island Dr, Gulf Breeze, FL, 32561, USA.
概括
气候变化可能通过影响河口密度分层来改变沿海低氧. 增加的风力可以破坏分层的稳定,而海平面上升和淡水排放可能会加强它,影响海湾的氧气水平.
科学领域:
- * 沿海海洋学
- * 河口动态 河口动态
- * 气候变化的影响.
背景情况:
- *垂直密度分层对于沿海缺氧的形成和扩张至关重要.
- * 未来气候变化对河口循环的影响在很大程度上是未知的.
- *了解这些影响对于管理沿海生态系统至关重要.
研究的目的:
- * 开发和校准宾萨科拉湾的3D水力动力模型.
- * 检查未来气候情景对河口状态变量的影响.
- * 评估气候变化对垂直密度分层的影响.
主要方法:
- * 开发并校准了一个三维水力动力学模型.
- *使用了2013-2017年宾萨科拉湾的模拟数据.
- * 应用未来气候场景:增加辐射强迫,温度,淡水排放,海平面上升和风力强化.
主要成果:
- * 气候变化对盐度,温度和密度的影响因强迫条件而异.
- *海平面上升和淡水排放增加可以偶尔加强密度梯度.
- *增加的风力强迫使分层不稳定,减少了它的范围和持续时间.
结论:
- *未来的气候变化可能会改变河口的垂直密度分层.
- *风力强迫在破坏分层的稳定性方面发挥着至关重要的作用,抵消了强化效应.
- *自然变化和局部现象是气候模型的重要考虑因素.
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