公共卫生干预措施的长期有效性和成本效益;我们如何模拟行为? 一个审查审查
Hazel Squires1, Michael P Kelly2, Nigel Gilbert3
1Sheffield Centre for Health and Related Research, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.
Health economics
|September 8, 2023
概括
健康经济模型需要更好的行为整合. 基于代理的建模等有希望的方法可以通过考虑复杂的人类行为来改善公共卫生干预预测.
科学领域:
- 卫生经济学 卫生经济学
- 行为科学 行为科学
- 计算建模 计算建模
背景情况:
- 公共卫生干预的有效性取决于复杂的人类行为.
- 当前的健康经济模式往往过于简化行为,缺乏理论和基于证据的基础.
- 这种差距限制了模型预测的准确性和可靠性.
研究的目的:
- 审查将行为纳入跨学科模拟模型的方法.
- 确定适用于行为变化的健康经济建模的方法.
- 为突出改善健康经济学行为建模的研究差距.
主要方法:
- 关于将行为纳入模拟模型的现有方法的文献综述.
- 识别和评估有前途的技术,如经济度学分析,结构方程模型,数据挖掘和基于代理的建模.
- 分析了22项研究,在模拟模型中量化行为理论.
主要成果:
- 基于代理的建模对于捕捉非线性,动态的行为影响,包括社会和空间网络,特别有希望.
- 研究强调了个人决策,环境相互作用和社会规范的重要作用之间的相互作用.
- 在量化行为理论方面存在局限性,需要进一步研究.
结论:
- 整合先进的行为建模技术可以提高健康经济预测.
- 基于代理的模型提供了一个强大的框架来模拟复杂的行为变化动态.
- 进一步的研究至关重要,特别是在健康经济背景下基于代理物的模型和行为维护理论上.
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