气候风险对全球能源贸易的影响
Yuyin Ma1, Shouwei Li1, Hu Wang2
1School of Economics and Management, Southeast University, Nanjing, 211189, People's Republic of China.
Environmental science and pollution research international
|September 8, 2023
概括
气候风险对全球能源贸易产生负面影响,影响进口超过出口. 了解这些气候风险溢出效应对于能源安全和政策至关重要.
科学领域:
- 能源经济学 能源经济学
- 气候科学是气候科学.
- 网络分析 网络分析
背景情况:
- 气候风险是影响全球能源行业和国际能源贸易的重要因素.
- 全球能源贸易的相互联系性质需要基于网络的分析来理解复杂的动态.
研究的目的:
- 调查1996-2018年全球能源贸易网络的演变.
- 探索气候风险对国际能源贸易关系和国家特定贸易状况的影响.
主要方法:
- 网络分析方法应用于全球能源贸易数据 (1996-2018).
- 检查网络演变特征,包括无尺度和区域特征.
- 模拟分析,以评估气候风险对进口/出口状态和溢出效应的影响.
主要成果:
- 全球能源贸易网络表现出无规模和区域特征,整体异质性正在减弱.
- 气候风险与国家之间的能源贸易关系之间存在负相关性.
- 与出口状况相比,气候风险对各国的进口状况产生了不成比例的影响,很少有国家表现出显著的溢出效应.
结论:
- 气候风险严重扰乱了全球能源贸易,特别是影响了进口动态.
- 确定主要的能源贸易国家和了解气候风险溢出效应对于减轻负面影响至关重要.
- 提供了政策建议,以提高全球能源部门对气候风险冲击的抵御力.
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