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实际,潜在的真实和假设的货币奖励在概率折扣中
1Osaka Kyoiku University, Osaka, Japan.
Journal of the experimental analysis of behavior
|September 11, 2023
概括
在决策研究中,假设奖励导致更大的概率折扣,而不是实际奖励. 需要进一步的研究来理解这种对贴现率的高估.
科学领域:
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
- 认知心理学 认知心理学
- 决策科学 决策科学 决策科学
背景情况:
- 假设奖励在人类折扣研究中被广泛使用,但它们的有效性尚未得到充分研究.
- 了解实际和假设奖励折扣之间的区别对于准确的行为建模至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 为了比较货币奖励价值的概率折扣在真实,潜在的真实和假设的奖励条件.
- 评估在决策研究中使用假设奖励的有效性.
主要方法:
- 24名本科生完成了60项试验,涉及不确定的大奖励和某些小奖励之间的选择.
- 参与者选择了真钱,假想的钱或两者的混合 (潜在的真实情况).
- 分析了过度概率折扣函数和曲线下的面积.
主要成果:
- 与实际奖励相比,假设奖励的概率折扣显著更大.
- "潜在的真实"条件也显示出比"实际"条件更大的折扣.
- 在假设和潜在的真实条件下,log10转换的h值更高,曲线下面积值更低.
结论:
- 使用假设奖励可能会高估实际奖励的实际概率折扣率.
- 需要进一步的研究来阐明这种差异背后的机制.
- 研究结果强调了在折扣研究中考虑奖励现实的重要性.
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