影响水循环过程变化的机制在宁平原不断变化的环境中,中国
Zhong Lu1, Kuo Li1, Jinliang Zhang1
1Yellow River Engineering Consulting Co., Ltd., Zhengzhou, Henan Province 450003, China; Key Laboratory of Water Management and Water Security for Yellow River Basin of Ministry of Water Resources, Zhengzhou, Henan Province 450003, China.
气候变化对南平原的水循环产生了重大影响,主要影响了蒸发和下水. 人类活动,如城市扩张和农业变化,也越来越多地影响水资源,需要综合管理策略.
科学领域:
- 水文科学 水文科学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 气候变化研究 气候变化研究
背景情况:
- 陆地表面的水循环受到气候变化和人类活动的重大影响.
- 了解这些变化对于生态保护和脆弱地区的可持续发展至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 模拟和分析宁平原1980年至2020年的水循环变化.
- 确定这些水文变化背后的主要驱动因素和机制.
主要方法:
- 使用MIKE SHE/MIKE 11模型与多源数据集成.
- 采用GRACE和GLDAS数据来准确地进行地下水储存变化逆转.
- 开发了一种表面-地下水合模型,以提高模拟准确度.
主要成果:
- 气候变化是主要的驱动因素,对蒸发转化 (77.04%),地表排水 (70.88%) 和地下水位 (67.86%) 的变化作出了重大贡献.
- 人类活动,包括湿地丧失,城市扩张和农业强化,越来越多地影响了水循环.
- 特定时期显示出明显的人类影响,例如城市用水需求 (1995-2010) 和节水/田扩张 (2011-2020).
结论:
- 综合水文建模与多源数据提供了有效的工具来研究水循环动态.
- 这些发现强调了气候变化和人类活动对区域水资源的复杂相互作用.
- 有效的水资源管理策略对于像南平原这样的水资源稀缺地区至关重要.
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