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在九个行星边界中的六个之外的地球
Katherine Richardson1, Will Steffen2, Wolfgang Lucht3,4
1Globe Institute, Faculty of Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Science advances
|September 13, 2023
概括
地球现在已经超出了安全运行范围,九个行星边界中的六个已经被超越. 此次更新强调越来越多的违法行为,并建议人类占用净初级生产作为生物圈完整性的关键指标.
科学领域:
- 地球系统科学 地球系统科学
- 环境科学环境科学
- 全球可持续性全球可持续性
背景情况:
- 行星边界框架评估了人类的安全操作空间.
- 之前的评估发现了几个被超越的界限,表明环境压力越来越大.
研究的目的:
- 更新行星边界评估框架.
- 评估当前地球系统边界的状态及其对人类福祉的影响.
主要方法:
- 对地球系统数据与已确定的行星边界水平进行分析.
- 引入净初级生产的人类占有率作为生物圈完整性的控制变量.
- 地球系统建模以探索边界超越相互作用.
主要成果:
- 现在九个行星边界中的六个已经被超越,这表明地球已经超出了安全操作空间.
- 海洋酸化正在接近其极限,气溶载荷在区域范围内超过其极限.
- 平流层臭氧出现轻微恢复,但其他边界的超越水平有所增加.
结论:
- 人类在安全的行星边界之外运作,对地球系统产生重大影响.
- 生物圈的功能完整性受到损害,这一点体现在净初级生产界限的人类占有率的超越.
- 人类产生的影响必须从系统角度来看,考虑到气候和土地系统变化的相互联系.
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