对南非城市化增长和出口需求的实证分析:对环境可持续性的影响
Ahmed Oluwatobi Adekunle1, Festus Victor Bekun2,3, Adedeji Daniel Gbadebo1
1Department of Accounting Science, Walter Sisulu University, Mthatha, South Africa.
Environmental science and pollution research international
|September 14, 2023
概括
南非的城市人口增长与碳排放减少有关,而经济增长和出口增加增加了碳排放. 这凸显了清洁技术投资和公众对碳管理的教育的需要.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 发展研究 发展研究 研究
背景情况:
- 南非的经济对工业机械造成的碳排放做出了重大贡献.
- 了解碳排放的驱动因素对于可持续发展至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 检查碳排放,经济增长 (GDP),出口和南非城市人口增长之间的关系.
- 为减轻碳排放提供政策建议.
主要方法:
- 自动回归分布式滞后 (ARDL) 模型.
- 对1981年至2021年年度时间序列数据的分析.
主要成果:
- 城市人口增加1%与碳排放减少1%有关.
- 国内生产总值 (GDP) 增长1%导致碳排放量增加.
- 增加的出口与GDP增长相关,进一步导致碳排放增加.
结论:
- 城市化可能为南非减少碳排放提供了一条途径.
- 经济扩张和出口活动目前推动了排放,需要有针对性的干预措施.
- 建议包括促进公众对碳管理的教育,并投资于清洁技术和能源效率.
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