在七国集团经济体中导航碳排放:环境经济相互作用的量子回归分析
Bowen Luo1, Arshad Ahmad Khan2, Xiaoming Wu1
1College of Management, Xian University of Science and Technology, Xi'an, 710054, Shaanxi, People's Republic of China.
Environmental science and pollution research international
|September 14, 2023
概括
经济增长和进口增加了G-7国家的基于消费的二氧化碳排放量,而出口,能源效率和可再生能源产量减轻了它们,特别是在更高的排放水平下.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 计量经济学 计量经济学
- 气候变化政策 气候变化政策
背景情况:
- 基于消费的二氧化碳排放对七国集团国家来说是一个重大的环境挑战.
- 了解这些排放的驱动因素和缓解因素对于可持续发展至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 从1990年到2020年,分析G7国家基于消费的二氧化碳排放的长期和短期决定因素.
- 调查经济因素对不同量度的二氧化碳排放产生异质影响.
主要方法:
- 对G-7国家 (1990-2020年) 的小组数据分析.
- 对异质斜率系数和横截面依赖性的初步测试.
- 同集成分析和第二代单元根测试.
- 运动量回归方法 (MMQR) 评估长期和短期关系.
- 使用马尔科夫链蒙特卡洛 (MCMC) 技术的量子回归进行稳定性检查.
主要成果:
- 经济增长和进口对基于消费的二氧化碳排放产生负面影响,在更高的排放水平下,影响会加剧.
- 出口,能源效率和可再生能源产量积极减轻二氧化碳排放,在更高的排放水平下,影响更为显著.
- MMQR和MCMC的稳定性检查证实了这些因素对二氧化碳排放的重大影响.
结论:
- 七国集团国家必须实施政策来规范二氧化碳排放,促进生态平衡.
- 政策应侧重于加强出口驱动的行业,促进可再生能源产量 (REO) 和提高能源效率.
- 减少进口,促进出口和碳定价是减少排放和可持续发展的重要策略.
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