从短期到长期:全球地区的外国直接投资和净出口的动态分析
Sanduni Lakshani1, Chanuka Sandaruwan1, Chanaka Fernando1
1Sri Lanka Institute of Information Technology, SLIIT Business School, Malabe, Sri Lanka.
PloS one
|September 14, 2023
概括
在全球范围内,外国直接投资 (FDI) 和净出口 (NE) 显示出明显的双向关系. 这项研究揭示了外国直接投资如何影响贸易动态和经济增长,为政策制定者提供了见解.
科学领域:
- 国际经济学 国际经济学
- 贸易动态 贸易动态
- 经济发展 经济发展
背景情况:
- 外商直接投资 (FDI) 理论,如逆向链接,出口平台和知识转移,影响了东道国的出口能力.
- 国内因素,如生产率和产品生命周期,影响了外国直接投资的吸引力和出口业绩.
- 了解外国直接投资和净出口 (NE) 之间的相互作用对于区域经济发展至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查全球所有地区的FDI和NE之间的动态因果关系和相关性.
- 分析外国直接投资流入对增强东道国的出口能力和经济增长的影响.
- 确定国内因素如何影响外国直接投资的吸引力和出口业绩.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自110个国家的面板数据,涵盖了2002年至2020年.
- 采用波形连贯性方法来检查不同频率和时间段之间的关系.
- 进行了格兰杰因果关系测试,以确定FDI和NE之间的影响方向.
主要成果:
- 在大多数研究区域中,发现了外国直接投资和非直接投资之间的显著关系.
- 在所有大陆的FDI和NE之间观察到双向因果关系.
- 调查结果强调了国际投资和贸易流的相互联系.
结论:
- 在全球范围内,外国直接投资 (FDI) 和外商直接投资 (NE) 呈现出一种显著的双向关系.
- 政府和政策制定者可以利用这些见解来制定有效的外国直接投资和贸易政策.
- 东道国可以根据这些发现,加强其吸引外国直接投资和促进净出口的战略.
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