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少数群体化器和多数群体储库支持气候变化适应的传播
Matthew A Turner1, Alyson L Singleton1, Mallory J Harris1
1Stanford Doerr School of Sustainability, Social Sciences Division, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
概括
少数群体可以化气候变化适应,而多数群体则充当水库. 具有适度集体学习的少数群体结构最好传播并保持适应性行为,以成功适应气候变化.
科学领域:
- 文化演变的文化演变.
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 基于代理人的建模.
背景情况:
- 适应气候变化依赖于人口内部适应性行为的扩散和持续.
- 理论上说,元人口结构的异质性是为了促进适应的传播.
- 了解社会学习动态对于有效的适应策略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查少数群体-多数群体的人口结构如何影响适应的传播和维持.
- 探索群体内学习偏好在适应传播中的作用.
- 为气候变化适应的文化科学提供理论见解.
主要方法:
- 开发一种以代理物为基础的模型,模拟异质超群体的适应传播.
- 在子群体内引入不同程度的群体内学习偏好.
- 在少数群体与多数群体结构中的适应动态与大小相同的群体之间的比较.
主要成果:
- 少数群体多数人口中适度的群体内偏好显示出优越的适应传播和维持.
- 少数群体作为新适应的化器.
- 大多数群体充当了水库,稳定了曾经广泛的适应.
结论:
- 异质的超群体结构,特别是那些具有少数-多数动态和适度的同类关系的结构,增强了适应扩散.
- 知识的初始分布 (少数群体从适应开始) 和社会凝聚力 (多数群体) 是关键因素.
- 文化进化理论为理解和促进气候变化适应提供了有价值的工具.
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