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应对多重危机:长期的社会文化因素决定了应对气候变化的反应
Daniel Hoyer1,2, James S Bennett1,3, Jenny Reddish1
1Complexity Science Hub, 1080 Vienna, Austria.
概括
由于不同的文化,政治和经济结构,社会对气候冲击的反应不同. 了解这些历史反应有助于建立应对未来气候挑战的弹性.
科学领域:
- 社会生态系统社会生态系统
- 适应气候变化 适应气候变化
- 文化复原力 文化复原力
背景情况:
- 洪水和地震等环境冲击历来导致社会不稳定.
- 社会表现出各种各样的弹性,从崩到适应.
- 需要一个明确的框架来理解危机期间不同的社会结果.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个概念框架来分析社会对环境压力因素的反应.
- 调查长期社会结构在调解危机影响中的作用.
- 确定影响社会性和易受气候冲击影响的因素.
主要方法:
- 使用危机数据库 (CrisisDB) 程序收集历史数据.
- 分析文化,政治和经济结构对危机结果的影响.
- 检查几十年到几个世纪以来对环境压力因素的社会反应.
主要成果:
- 危机期间的社会结果是由现有的长期结构调解的.
- 这些结构可以增强性和适应性,也可以促进动荡和崩.
- 历史分析揭示了复杂的社会生态相互作用塑造了弹性.
结论:
- 整合历史社会结构的框架对于理解气候冲击影响至关重要.
- 确定增强性因素可以为当代气候变化适应战略提供信息.
- 文化科学对于有效的气候适应是必不可少的.
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