探索建筑环境与学校通勤儿童发生事故风险之间的关联
Yaxin Wu1, Xiaowei Hu1, Xiaofeng Ji2
1School of Transportation Science and Engineering, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150090, China.
Accident; analysis and prevention
|September 20, 2023
概括
建筑环境影响孩子们的学校通勤事故风险 (CR). 考虑到特定的空间尺度,学校类型和时间窗口的有针对性的政策对于改善儿童旅行安全至关重要.
科学领域:
- 城市规划是城市规划.
- 交通运输安全运输安全
- 环境健康 环境健康
背景情况:
- 了解建筑环境对儿童上学通勤事故风险 (CR) 的影响,对于政策制定至关重要.
- 现有的研究往往假定空间一致性,可能导致不准确的CR估计.
- 利用来自中国深的数据,包括交通事故,土地使用和学校信息.
研究的目的:
- 探索建筑环境属性与儿童上学通勤CR之间的关系的时空异质性.
- 评估不同空间分析模型在理解这些关系方面的有效性.
- 为创造适合儿童的城市环境提供基于证据的指导.
主要方法:
- 使用碰撞尺度来表示严重程度的量化CR.
- 使用空间杜宾模型 (SDM),地理加权回归 (GWR) 和混合GWR (MGWR) 进行分析.
- 使用200米尺度进行变量分析,MGWR表现出卓越的性能.
主要成果:
- 撞车尺度比单个指标更有效地衡量学校通勤的严重性.
- 与SDM和GWR相比,MGWR模型提供了更好的空间时间异质性的洞察力.
- 减少CR的关键因素包括较低的道路网络密度,最佳的教育设施布局,更少的公交线路和更多的街道停车.
结论:
- 关于儿童旅行安全的政策干预必须是具体的空间,考虑学校类型和时间窗口.
- 建议使用200米尺度来分析建筑环境与CR的关系.
- 调查结果支持有针对性的城市规划和操作指导,以加强通勤期间儿童的安全.
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