东亚夏季降雨是由亚季节性印度季风加热刺激的
Shixue Li1, Tomonori Sato2, Tetsu Nakamura2,3
1Graduate School of Environmental Science, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, 060-0810, Japan. lishx@ees.hokudai.ac.jp.
Nature communications
|September 22, 2023
概括
印度夏季季风 (ISM) 可以预测东亚夏季季风 (EASM) 的降雨量. 印度的变暖影响了东亚的天气模式,通过大气波动力学增强了降水和雨带形成.
科学领域:
- 气候学 气候学 气候学
- 大气科学 大气科学
- 气象学 天气学
背景情况:
- 东亚夏季季风 (EASM) 与印度夏季季风 (ISM) 之间的关系是复杂的,并未完全理解.
- 国际金融机制对EASM变化的预测能力仍然不确定.
研究的目的:
- 调查ISM对EASM的预测潜力.
- 阐明ISM变化影响东亚降雨的机制.
主要方法:
- 对观测数据的分析.
- 使用一个大型的气候模型实验.
- 使用集群分析来识别不同的模式.
主要成果:
- 6月份印度地区出现异常的糖尿病性升温,增加了中国东部,韩国和日本的降水量.
- ISM的加热触发了罗斯比波的传播,导致东亚的南风.
- 这些南风促进了温暖和潮湿的吸收,促进了雨带的形成.
结论:
- ISM可以作为EASM季后变化的预测指标.
- 根据亚热带喷流结构,ISM加热充当东亚雨带的触发器和强化器.
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