经济政策的不确定性是否导致环境污染? 来自发达国家的新证据
Mehmet Akif Arvas1, Cuma Demirtas2, Esra Soyu Yildirim3
1Department of Economics, Van Yüzüncü Yil University, Van, Turkey.
Environmental science and pollution research international
|September 24, 2023
概括
经济政策的不确定性和人均国内生产总值推动了二氧化碳排放,而可再生能源和贸易开放减轻了它们. 人口密度对环境退化没有重大影响.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 气候变化研究 气候变化研究
背景情况:
- 工业革命对全球生态系统产生了重大影响.
- 学术努力的重点是确定环境退化的人为驱动因素.
- 经济政策不确定性 (EPU) 是影响环境结果的新兴因素.
研究的目的:
- 调查发达国家二氧化碳排放的关键决定因素.
- 分析经济政策不确定性 (EPU) 在环境退化中的作用.
- 将STIRPAT模型扩展到可再生能源,贸易,全球化和ICT等因素.
主要方法:
- 通过对人口,财富和技术 (STIRPAT) 的回归扩展的随机影响环境模型.
- 使用动态条件相关性 (DCC) 估计器进行实证建模.
- 包括人均GDP,人口密度,能源强度,EPU,可再生能源,贸易开放性,全球化和ICT指数作为变量.
主要成果:
- 人均GDP和能源强度被确定为二氧化碳排放的主要因素.
- 人口密度对二氧化碳排放没有显著影响.
- 可再生能源,贸易开放和全球化对二氧化碳排放产生了负面影响,而技术和EPU对二氧化碳排放产生了边际贡献.
结论:
- 人均GDP和能源强度等经济因素是二氧化碳排放的重要驱动因素.
- 促进可再生能源,贸易开放和全球化的政策可以帮助减少环境退化.
- 了解经济政策不确定性与环境因素之间的复杂相互作用对于可持续发展至关重要.
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