预测日常生活中吸烟的大麻的数量:使用机器学习的探索性研究
Ching-Yun Yu1, Yi Shang1, Tionna M Hough2
1Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, University of Missouri, USA.
Drug and alcohol dependence
|September 25, 2023
概括
使用机器学习,可以预测日常大麻消费量. 影响,主观影响和动机是大麻使用量的主要预测因素,社会背景起到中等作用.
科学领域:
- 心理学 心理学 心理学
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
- 大麻研究 大麻研究
背景情况:
- 大麻的使用在美国很普遍,并且与不良结果有关.
- 消费的大麻的数量是负面影响的关键指标.
研究的目的:
- 探索用于预测每日大麻消费量的机器学习模型.
- 确定影响大麻使用量的主要心理和环境因素.
主要方法:
- 利用了52名成年大麻经常使用者的14天生态瞬间评估 (EMA) 数据.
- 应用各种机器学习算法,根据43个EMA措施预测大麻使用量.
- 包括情绪,冲动性,疼痛,物质使用,渴望,大麻效力,动机,主观影响,社会背景和位置等因素.
主要成果:
- 最好的模型 (渐变增强树) 达到71.15%的准确度和72.46%的精度.
- 情绪状态,主观大麻效应和使用动机是大麻使用量的强有力的预测因素.
- 社交环境 (与他人相处,特别是朋友/伴侣) 是适度的预测因素;位置不那么重要,除了"不在工作".
结论:
- 机器学习可以识别与大麻使用相关的临床相关的环境和心理因素.
- 了解这些预测因素可以为有问题的大麻使用提供干预信息.
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