确定100%可再生能源电力系统的经济效益的机制
1Toyota Central R&D Labs., Inc, Yokomichi 41-1, Nagakute, Aichi 480-1192, Japan.
iScience
|September 27, 2023
概括
实现100%的可再生能源电力系统是可行的. 优化的混合系统具有多样化的能源存储,包括长期选项,是降低成本的关键,由需求和发电概况驱动.
科学领域:
- 能源系统分析 能源系统分析
- 可再生能源经济学可再生能源经济学
- 动力系统优化 动力系统优化
背景情况:
- 100%可再生能源电力系统的经济可行性仍然存在争议,因为其潜在机制尚不清楚.
- 优化方法已被广泛使用,但缺乏对决定因素的清晰理解.
研究的目的:
- 提出一个数学公式,阐明确定可再生能源电力系统最佳容量和权衡的机制.
- 量化技术成本,最佳容量和总系统成本之间的关系.
- 证明混合系统的成本降低潜力,包括多种存储,包括长期储能.
主要方法:
- 开发一个数学模型,将需求和生产配置文件与最佳的生产和存储能力联系起来.
- 综合量化因素成本,最佳容量和总系统成本.
- 对来自日本的多年多地区数据进行分析,以验证发现.
主要成果:
- 生产和储存的最佳容量仅取决于需求和发电配置文件.
- 因素成本,最佳容量和总系统成本具有可量化的关系.
- 采用多种可再生能源和多种存储类型的混合系统,包括长期储能,可显著降低总系统成本.
结论:
- 混合可再生能源系统对于具有成本效益的100%可再生能源至关重要.
- 大规模部署电气转化技术,如水电解,可以提高这些系统的经济可行性.
- 了解需求,发电和储存之间的相互作用对于设计高效和负担得起的可再生能源系统至关重要.
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