关于儿童和青少年超重和肥胖的系统动态模拟模型:系统性审查
Anaely Aguiar1, Mekdes K Gebremariam2, Eduard Romanenko2
1System Dynamics Group, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway.
概括
系统动态模型有助于理解儿童肥胖. 审查15个模型表明,它们涵盖多个层面,但需要更好地整合机制,并测试有效预防政策的结构变化.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 系统科学 系统科学
- 儿童肥胖研究儿童肥胖研究
背景情况:
- 儿童肥胖是一个复杂的流行病,需要有效的预防政策.
- 了解驱动机制对于政策制定至关重要.
- 模拟模型提供了一个测试潜在干预措施的工具.
研究的目的:
- 审查儿童超重和肥胖的系统动态模拟模型.
- 确定推动青少年肥胖的机制和潜在的干预点.
- 评估现有模拟模型的质量和范围.
主要方法:
- 在六个数据库中进行系统的文献搜索 (开始至2023年1月).
- 关键词:超重/肥胖,儿童,系统动态.
- 研究描述,机制,杆点和质量评估的叙事综合.
主要成果:
- 包括17篇描述15个系统动态模型的论文.
- 模型包含了从人内到多层次生态因素的机制.
- 仅限于改变系统结构的干预措施;大多数测试的参数变化.
结论:
- 现有的模型捕捉到推动青少年肥胖的多层次机制.
- 需要综合模型,结合多个层面.
- 未来的模型应该允许测试基本的系统变化,以制定政策.
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