通过时间变化的格兰杰因果关系测试,重新审视美国的研发强度和二氧化碳排放之间的联系: 1870∼2020年
Hao-Wen Chang1, Tsangyao Chang2, Feiyun Xiang3
1Department of Information Management and Finance, National Yang-Ming Chiao-Tung University, Hsinchu, Taiwan.
Heliyon
|September 28, 2023
概括
随着时间的推移,技术创新和经济增长对美国的二氧化碳排放产生了重大影响. 投资研发和可持续增长战略是减少环境影响的关键.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 技术创新技术创新技术创新
- 经济发展 经济发展
背景情况:
- 经济发展,研发强度和二氧化碳排放之间的关系对于理解环境可持续性至关重要.
- 美国从1870年到2020年的历史数据为这些相互关联的因素提供了长期的视角.
研究的目的:
- 调查美国的研发强度,人均GDP和人均二氧化碳排放之间的动态因果关系.
- 确定这些关系的时间变化的性质,并确定关键的拐点.
主要方法:
- 利用时间变化的格兰杰因果分析来检查不断发展的关系.
- 分析了从1870年到2020年的美国数据.
主要成果:
- 发现研发强度与二氧化碳排放以及人均GDP与二氧化碳排放之间的因果关系在时间上有所变化.
- 从1975年开始,研发强度对二氧化碳排放产生了重大影响,而人均GDP的影响始于1978年.
- 结果支持环境库兹涅茨曲线 (EKC) 理论,并揭示了细微的联系.
结论:
- 技术创新和经济增长对二氧化碳排放产生了明显的,不断变化的影响.
- 政府战略应优先考虑研发投资和技术创新,以促进可持续的经济增长和减少排放.
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