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在多个季节使用捕获-重新捕获来估计流感住院的负担

Amanda C Howa¹, Yuwei Zhu², Dayna Wyatt¹

¹Department of Health Policy, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, USA.

The Journal of infectious diseases

|September 28, 2023

概括

估计流感住院人数对于公共卫生至关重要. 结合监控数据的捕获-重新捕获方法比单独使用当前系统提供更准确的负担估计.

科学领域:

流行病学流行病学
公共卫生监督公共卫生监督

背景情况:

流感是美国住院的重要原因之一.
准确估计流感负担对公共卫生至关重要.
整合监控系统有助于全面估计负担.

研究的目的:

使用捕获-重新捕获方法估计流感住院率.
评估不同监控系统在识别案件方面的表现.

主要方法:

来自独立监控系统 (EIP,HAIVEN,NVSN) 的综合数据.
应用捕获-重新捕获方法来估计田纳西州中部 (2016-2020) 的流感住院率.
每个系统的基于人口的计算率和病例检测比例.

主要成果:

估计的流感住院率每年每10,000人有23到40人.
年长的成年人 (≥65岁) 患病率最高,在2017-2018年达到每10,000人中有170人.
与海文和NVSN相比,新兴感染计划 (EIP) 检测到的病例比例更高.

结论:

现有的监测系统往往低估了真正的流感负担.
捕获-重新捕获分析为全面估计流感负担提供了有价值的替代方案.
这种方法通过整合多个数据源来补充传统的基于人口的估计.

关键词:

捕获-重新捕获的方式住院治疗住院治疗流感流感流感流感流感

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