贸易对就业的影响:从全球价值链的角度看的新证据
Yue Mingyang1, Yuan Hankun1, Xu Chen2,3
1Department of Economics, Jiangsu Administration Institute, Nanjing, China.
PloS one
|September 28, 2023
概括
全球价值链 (GVC) 显著促进就业,特别是在发展中国家. 发达国家通过前性GVC职位看到就业增长,而发展中国家从减少落后的GVC职位中受益.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 国际贸易 国际贸易 国际贸易
- 劳动经济学 劳动经济学
背景情况:
- 全球价值链 (GVC) 显著重塑国际贸易模式.
- 了解一个国家在GVC中的地位对就业的影响至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查GVC对不同国家的就业地位的影响.
- 分析驱动这些就业效应的异质机制.
- 探索发达经济体潜在的挤出效应.
主要方法:
- 对GVC和就业的理论分析.
- 使用42个国家的56个行业的面板数据进行实证分析 (2000-2014).
- 异质性和机械测试,以根据国家类型和GVC位置区分影响.
主要成果:
- 加强GVC的地位显著增加了就业,在发展中国家的影响更大.
- 发达国家通过前期GVC仓位经历了积极的工资效应和就业增长.
- 发展中国家显示出正面的需求效应和负面的因素替代效应,通过减少落后的GVC地位来促进就业.
结论:
- GVC的地位是国家就业水平的关键决定因素.
- 发达国家在GVC密集型行业的就业增长可能会挤出其他行业.
- 结果为国家GVC参与和就业政策制定提供了洞察力.
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