分析城市化与生态足迹之间的非线性关联:经验分析
Muhammad Arif1, Abid Rashid Gill1, Minhaj Ali2
1Department of Economics, The Islamia University of Bahawalpur, Bahawalpur, Pakistan.
Environmental science and pollution research international
|September 28, 2023
概括
城市化的城市化.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 城市研究 城市研究
背景情况:
- 城市化对经济发展和环境质量产生重大影响,特别是在新兴经济体.
- 城市化带来的基础设施,交通和能源需求增加,有助于环境退化.
- 了解这种关系对于可持续发展战略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查城市化对巴基斯坦环境退化的不对称影响.
- 使用年度数据分析从1970年到2020年的时期.
- 探索其他经济因素在环境退化中的作用.
主要方法:
- 使用非线性自回归分布式滞后 (NARDL) 模型.
- 员工年时间序列数据涵盖50年 (1970-2020年).
- 研究了人均生态足迹作为环境退化指标.
主要成果:
- 城市化与环境退化有着不对称的关系;积极的变化增加了环境退化,负面的变化减少了环境退化.
- 外国直接投资和工业生产与环境退化有积极的相关性.
- 贸易开放性,货币供应和经济增长 (以二次数) 显示出与环境退化存在复杂联系,支持环境库兹涅茨曲线 (EKC) 假设.
结论:
- 该研究证实了城市化对巴基斯坦环境质量的不对称影响.
- 政策建议包括确定改善环境的城市化门,促进绿色技术和可再生能源.
- 研究结果表明,需要制定有针对性的战略,以减轻城市发展过程中的环境退化.
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