未来是女性:从2020年到2057年的泌尿器科劳动力预测
Catherine S Nam1, Stephanie Daignault-Newton1, Kate H Kraft1
1Department of Urology, Michigan Medicine University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
The Urologic clinics of North America
|September 29, 2023
概括
预计到2030年,泌尿科医生的劳动力将面临30%的短缺. 未来的劳动力增长在很大程度上依赖于女性泌尿科医生,需要有针对性的支持和保留策略.
科学领域:
- 泌尿病学劳动力分析
- 医疗保健专业的人口统计数据
背景情况:
- 预计将出现严重的泌尿科医生短缺,估计到2030年,人均缺口将达到30%.
- 了解泌尿器科劳动力短缺的细微差别对于减轻未来对患者护理的下游负面影响至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析泌尿外科劳动力预测和女性泌尿外科医生在应对即将出现的短缺方面的作用.
- 与美国人口相比,提供对泌尿器科劳动力短缺的细微了解.
主要方法:
- 利用持续增长和停滞增长预测模型来预测劳动力趋势.
- 在接下来的四十年里,分析了泌尿器科劳动力中的人口变化.
主要成果:
- 预计女性泌尿科医生将在未来40年内占泌尿科劳动力增长的很大一部分.
- 这种人口趋势表明,急需采取战略干预措施,以支持和留住女性在泌尿器科.
结论:
- 解决预计的泌尿科医生短缺需要专注于增加女性泌尿科医生的代表性和保留.
- 泌尿病学领导层必须实施有目的的招聘,结构变化和宣传,以支持越来越多的女性泌尿病学家.
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