中国目前的森林年龄结构将在不久的将来导致碳汇减弱
Rong Shang1, Jing M Chen1,2, Mingzhu Xu1
1Key Laboratory for Humid Subtropical Eco-Geographical Processes of the Ministry of Education, School of Geographical Sciences, Fujian Normal University, Fuzhou 350117, China.
Innovation (Cambridge (Mass.))
|October 3, 2023
概括
中国的森林对碳捕获至关重要,随着它们的老化,碳吸收将会下降. 这项研究强调了需要森林管理策略来保持陆地碳汇的有效性.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 林业林业 林业 林业 林业
背景情况:
- 森林作为一个重要的陆地碳汇,缓解大气中二氧化碳的积累和气候变化.
- 现有的气候模型往往忽视了森林年龄对碳吸收能力的影响.
研究的目的:
- 预测中国森林年龄结构对其碳吸收能力的未来作用.
- 评估森林衰老对净初级生产率和碳捕获的影响.
主要方法:
- 使用卫星和森林库存数据,生成了2019年中国的高分辨率 (30米) 森林年龄地图.
- 根据3,121个森林地块的生物质和年龄测量得出的森林生长曲线.
主要成果:
- 中国的森林,目前由年轻和中年人群主导,将保持高增长率大约15年.
- 预计到2050年,净初级生产率 (碳吸收) 的下降率为5.0%,到2060年为8.4%,到2100年为16.6%.
- 这些下降表明,在未来,陆地碳沉积能力将会减弱.
结论:
- 森林老化将导致中国的碳吸收能力减少.
- 优化森林年龄结构通过选择性伐木和植树造林可以减轻这种下降.
- 这些发现对于全球碳循环的理解,气候预测和森林管理战略至关重要.
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