在地方政府参与下,对室内减缓的进化游戏分析
Dapeng Lin1, Weihai Zhuo2,3, Yupeng Yao2
1School of Public Health, Fudan University, 130 Dong'an Road, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Heliyon
|October 4, 2023
概括
减缓政策的成功取决于中央政府的补贴和当地成本共享,而不仅仅是健康风险. 财政负担显著影响地方政府和居民的决策.
科学领域:
- 环境健康 环境健康
- 公共政策分析 公共政策分析
- 游戏理论应用 游戏理论应用
背景情况:
- 是肺癌的第二大原因,需要公共政策干预.
- 减缓政策涉及政府层面和居民之间的复杂互动.
研究的目的:
- 用进化游戏理论分析地方政府和居民在减缓方面的互动.
- 在考虑中央政府补贴的情况下,确定影响中国控制实施的关键因素.
主要方法:
- 进化游戏理论的应用,以建模政府与居民的互动.
- 基于中国实践数据的数值模拟,以探索影响因素.
主要成果:
- 减缓主要由政府驱动,取决于中央补贴和当地成本分配.
- 财政负担,而不是长期的健康益处,是地方政府和居民的关键决定因素.
- 经济状况和高控制成本造成了政策悖论,降低了高风险地区的意愿.
结论:
- 中央政府补贴和地方成本共享对于有效的减缓政策至关重要.
- 解决财政负担对于成功实施至关重要,特别是在经济较弱的地区.
- 该研究为地方政府对控制战略的决策提供了数据驱动的见解.
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