索马里环境污染和预期寿命:可再生能源,城市化和经济增长是否重要?
1Faculty of Economics, SIMAD University, Mogadishu, Somalia. abdimalikali1995@gmail.com.
Environmental science and pollution research international
|October 4, 2023
概括
这项研究发现,可再生能源,经济增长和城市化对索马里的预期寿命产生了积极的影响. 环境污染没有显著的影响,突出了清洁能源投资和改善卫生设施的必要性.
科学领域:
- 卫生经济学 卫生经济学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 发展研究 发展研究 研究
背景情况:
- 确保健康和长寿是一个关键的政策关注点,社会经济因素发挥着作用.
- 关于健康决定因素的经验研究在最不发达国家是有限的,比如索马里,索马里面临着糟糕的健康指标.
- 了解影响预期寿命的因素对于有针对性的干预至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 检查可再生能源,城市化,环境污染和经济增长对索马里预期寿命的影响 (1990-2016).
- 确定长寿的关键驱动因素和这些因素与低收入环境中的预期寿命之间的因果关系.
主要方法:
- 利用内核调节最小方形 (KRLS) 机器学习方法进行实证分析.
- 分析了索马里1990年至2016年的时间序列数据.
主要成果:
- 可再生能源,经济增长和城市化被发现是预期寿命的统计学上显著的积极决定因素.
- 环境污染对预期寿命的影响在统计学上是微不足道的.
- 在可再生能源与预期寿命,预期寿命与经济增长,环境污染与预期寿命之间建立了双向因果关系. 还观察到城市化与预期寿命之间的单向因果关系.
结论:
- 投资可再生能源和城市化对于提高索马里预期寿命至关重要.
- 建议通过预算修订来解决医疗保健和卫生问题,以提高寿命.
- 促进清洁能源对于积极的健康结果至关重要,而不妨碍经济增长.
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