通过机器学习研究化物纳入因子 (BIF) 和模型开发来预测饮用水中的THM
Shakhawat Chowdhury1, Karim Asif Sattar2, Syed Masiur Rahman3
1Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, King Fahd University of Petroleum & Minerals, Dhahran 31261, Saudi Arabia; IRC for Construction and Building Materials, King Fahd University of Petroleum & Minerals, Dhahran 31261, Saudi Arabia.
新的模型预测饮用水中的单个三甲,包括有毒的化合物. 这些机器学习模型有助于控制消毒副产品并降低人类健康风险.
科学领域:
- 环境化学环境化学
- 分析水质 分析水质
- 毒理学 毒理学 毒理学
背景情况:
- 饮用水中的消毒副产品 (DBPs),特别是三甲 (THMs),存在癌症风险.
- 化THM比化THM更有毒,但对于个体THM预测的模型很少.
- THM形成受自然有机物 (NOM),离子,消毒剂,pH,温度和反应时间的影响.
研究的目的:
- 开发和评估机器学习模型,用于预测单个THM (甲,二甲,二甲,甲) 和总THM.
- 调查NOM不同分子量分数对THM形成和合物的贡献.
- 评估pH值,与的比率以及NOM特征对合因子 (BIF) 的影响.
主要方法:
- 按分子量划分NOM的分数.
- 在NOM分数中对DOC,THM和BIF的调查.
- 使用支持矢量回归器 (SVR),随机森林回归器 (RFR) 和人工神经网络 (ANN) 的预测模型的开发和验证.
主要成果:
- BIFs在pH值分别为6.0和8.5的0.08-0.16和0.07-0.15每毫克/升的DOC之间.
- 在较低的pH值和较低的NOM分子量,以及与的比率增加时,观察到更高的BIF.
- 在测试数据集中,模型表现出卓越的预测性能 (R2 = 0.8700.988),SVR和RFR显示出优异的结果.
结论:
- 开发的机器学习模型准确地预测了饮用水中的个体THM.
- 这些模型可以帮助控制特定的THM,以确保监管合规,并最大限度地降低与DBP相关的人类健康风险.
- 了解NOM分数和化物的作用对于有效的THM管理至关重要.
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