计算器用于预测学术医疗中心教师晋升的概率
May May Yeo1, Shih-Hui Lim2, Anshul Kumar3
1Office of Academic Medicine, Duke-NUS Medical School, Singapore gmsymm@nus.edu.sg.
BMJ leader
|October 6, 2023
概括
机器学习可以预测学术晋升的成功. 一个随机的森林模型分析了教师数据,有助于透明的评估,并使愿望与机构目标保持一致.
科学领域:
- 医学教育 医学教育
- 医疗信息学 医疗信息学
- 数据科学在学术界的数据科学
背景情况:
- 学术医学中心 (AMC) 每年管理大量的教师任命和晋升.
- 超过2200名教职员工和大约300名晋升需要高效的评估过程.
研究的目的:
- 探索机器学习在预测教师晋升批准概率方面的实用性.
- 在AMC中开发一个学术晋升的预测模型.
主要方法:
- 使用预测分析方法来检查与学术晋升相关的变量.
- 数据包括候选人的出版物,H指数,教育贡献和领导/服务角色.
- 在模型评价中使用了一个leave-one-out交叉验证过程.
主要成果:
- 评估了五种机器学习方法的预测准确性.
- 随机森林算法被确定为预测晋升结果的最佳模型.
结论:
- 本研究介绍了第一个用于预测AMC学术晋升的机器学习模型.
- 开发的模型可以作为教师绩效评估和晋升前景的"计算器".
- 该模型提高了晋升过程的透明度,并支持任期和晋升委员会.
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