探索排放交易体系对边际减排成本的影响,基于边境合成差异模型
Haoran Zhang1, Xiujie Tan2, Yu Liu3
1Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China.
Journal of environmental management
|October 7, 2023
概括
合成差异差异 (DID) 模型为评估排放交易系统 (ETS) 提供了一种优越的方法. 这种先进的技术准确地评估了中国.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 政策评估 政策评估
- 计量经济学 计量经济学
背景情况:
- 排放交易系统 (ETS) 对于控制排放而最大限度地降低经济成本至关重要.
- 传统的评估方法,如差异差异 (DID) 可能存在局限性.
研究的目的:
- 评估中国试点排放交易系统 (ETS) 的成本效益.
- 突出合成DID模型相对于传统DID方法的方法优势.
主要方法:
- 合成差异差异 (DID) 模型的应用.
- 与传统的DID和多期DID模型进行比较.
- 不同质性的分析和机制测试.
主要成果:
- 合成DID模型显示,边际减排成本 (MAC) 减少了24.39%.
- 传统的DID模型对政策影响的潜在高估分别为98.48%和71.09%.
- 在政策制定前,MAC的下降趋势影响了传统模型估计.
结论:
- 合成DID模型为政策评估提供了更可靠,更准确的方法.
- 这种方法结合了DID和合成控制方法 (SCM) 的优势.
- 促进政策评估系统在方法上健全的进步.
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