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地缘政治风险是否阻碍了可持续发展目标? 来自小组分析的证据
Dinh Trung Nguyen1, Thai Hong Le1, Dinh Dinh Do1
1VNU University of Economics and Business, Vietnam National University Hanoi, Viet Nam.
Journal of environmental management
|October 7, 2023
概括
地缘政治风险对可持续发展目标 (SDGs) 有负面影响,特别是经济增长和气候行动. 提高机构质量可以减轻这些不利影响,这对于政策制定者在全球不确定性中进行导航至关重要.
科学领域:
- 全球事件的社会经济影响.
- 可持续发展研究 可持续发展研究
- 国际关系与政策国际关系与政策
背景情况:
- 地缘政治风险是影响全球稳定的日益关注的问题.
- 可持续发展目标 (SDGs) 为全球进步提供了一个框架.
- 地缘政治风险与可持续发展目标实现之间的经验联系仍然未得到充分探索.
研究的目的:
- 实证地调查地缘政治风险对可持续发展目标 (SDGs) 的直接影响.
- 确定受地缘政治紧张局势影响的具体可持续发展目标.
- 探索调节因素,如机构质量和资源依赖.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自联合国的新型可持续发展目标指数及其17个子指数.
- 在2015年至2021年期间,对41个国家的雇员小组数据进行了分析.
- 进行了稳定性检查和异质性分析.
主要成果:
- 较高的地缘政治风险严重阻碍了实现可持续发展目标的进展.
- 可持续发展目标8 (体面工作和经济增长) 和可持续发展目标13 (气候行动) 受到影响最大.
- 负面影响在严重依赖自然资源的国家更为明显.
结论:
- 地缘政治风险对全球可持续发展努力构成重大威胁.
- 改善机构质量可以部分抵消地缘政治风险的负面影响.
- 需要进行政策干预,以保障在全球日益加剧的不确定性中实现可持续发展目标的进展.
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