立陶宛未记录的酒精消费:2000-2021年的建模研究
Mindaugas Štelemėkas1,2,3, Nijolė Goštautaitė Midttun3,4, Shannon Lange5,6,7
1Health Research Institute, Faculty of Public Health, Lithuanian University of Health Sciences, Tilžės str.18, Kaunas 47181, Lithuania.
Alcohol and alcoholism (Oxford, Oxfordshire)
|October 9, 2023
概括
使用间接建模方法估计了立陶宛未记录的酒精消费量. 结果表明,未记录的酒精摄入量是适度的,尽管记录的消费仍然是一个重要的公共卫生问题.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 酒精研究 酒精研究
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- 没有记录的酒精消费在全球范围内构成了重大公共卫生挑战.
- 估计未记录的酒精对于准确的公共卫生政策和减少危害策略至关重要.
- 立陶宛的酒精消费模式需要更新记录和未记录来源的数据.
研究的目的:
- 估计2000年至2021年在立陶宛未记录的酒精消费量.
- 用官方数据和与酒精有关的危害指标来建模酒精消费.
- 评估立陶宛人口中未记录的酒精摄入量的比例和趋势.
主要方法:
- 利用诺斯特罗姆的间接方法来建模未记录的酒精消费.
- 来自2019年立陶宛欧洲健康访谈调查的雇员数据.
- 为估计完全归因于酒精的死亡率的综合指标.
主要成果:
- 2019年估计未记录的酒精消费量为8.30% (95% CI 7.7-8.9%).
- 2019年人均消费总量为12.2L,其中1.01L未被记录.
- 2018年观察到未记录的酒精比例最高 (9.33%),2009年和2014年观察到最低.
结论:
- 与记录水平相比,立陶宛未记录的酒精消费量似乎很小.
- 记录的酒精消费仍然是立陶宛的主要公共卫生挑战.
- 持续监测记录和未记录的酒精对于公共卫生干预至关重要.
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