劳动力的组成变化对芬兰疾病缺勤趋势的贡献
Laura Salonen1, Elli Hartikainen1, Svetlana Solovieva1
1Finnish Institute of Occupational Health, 00032, Helsinki, Finland.
SSM - population health
|October 9, 2023
概括
芬兰长期病假减少的部分原因是教育水平上升和未观察到的个人因素. 这些未被观察到的因素扭转了老年工人的趋势,突出了早期生活对工作能力的影响.
科学领域:
- 社会科学 社会科学 社会科学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- 芬兰的病缺率长期以来一直在下降.
- 了解这些趋势的驱动因素对于劳动力健康和政策至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查观察到的和未观察到的劳动力组成变化是否解释了病假减少.
- 在不同年龄组中区分影响疾病缺勤趋势的因素.
主要方法:
- 利用芬兰登记册的面板数据 (2005-2016) 针对30-62岁的工资者.
- 应用随机效应模型用于观察到的特征和固定效应模型用于未观察到的特征.
- 调整为社会人口统计学,职业和队列老龄化因素.
主要成果:
- 教育水平的提高部分解释了病缺率的下降趋势.
- 没有观察到的个体特征进一步解释了年轻工人 (30-47岁) 的减少,并扭转了年长工人 (48-62岁) 的增加趋势.
- 早期生活因素,而不是工作环境,似乎对老年工人的病缺趋势更有影响.
结论:
- 长期病缺趋势受到教育程度和未观察到的稳定个体特征的影响.
- 改善工作能力的干预措施应侧重于提高教育水平和早期生命过程干预.
- 经济周期对病缺有明显的,直接的影响,而不是由组成变化来解释.
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