拉丁美洲和加勒比地区护理人力资源:当前需求和未来需求
Pablo Villalobos Dintrans1, Déborah Oliveira2, Marco Stampini3
1Programa Centro Salud Pública, Facultad de Ciencias Médicas, Universidad de Santiago, Santiago, Chile; Millennium Institute for Care Research (MICARE), Santiago, Chile.
Journal of the American Medical Directors Association
|October 9, 2023
概括
到2050年,拉丁美洲和加勒比地区 (LAC) 需要500万护理工作者来满足人口老龄化的需求. 战略规划对于解决日益增长的护理人力资源 (HRC) 缺口至关重要.
科学领域:
- 老年学是指老年学的学科.
- 医疗保健服务研究 医疗服务研究
- 公共卫生政策 公共卫生政策
背景情况:
- 拉丁美洲和加勒比地区 (LAC) 面临着人口快速老龄化.
- 老年人严重依赖护理对医疗保健系统构成重大挑战.
研究的目的:
- 估计当前和未来的护理人力资源缺口 (HRC) 对老年人严重的护理依赖在LAC.
- 为了确定HRC的必要供应,以满足预计的需求.
主要方法:
- 一项模拟研究使用了26个拉美国家对严重护理依赖的现有数据进行.
- 计算预测了2020年,2035年和2050年的HRC需求,考虑到不同的护理覆盖水平和护理专业人员的混合.
主要成果:
- 到2050年,需要近500万名全职HRC,以实现长期护理 (LTC) 覆盖率为100%的严重依赖护理的老年人.
- 对护士助理和护士的需求将是最高的.
- 预计对康复专业人员的需求将从2020年的200万增加到2050年的600多万.
结论:
- 拉美美洲人口老龄化转变需要积极的战略来解决HRC短缺问题.
- 解决人权委员会的人数和能力问题对于确保老年人的人权至关重要.
- 投资HRC对于该地区可持续的长期护理系统至关重要.
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