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创纪录的热天不成比例地影响热感知
Timothy Hyde1, Dolores Albarracín2
1University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, USA. thyde@upenn.edu.
Scientific reports
|October 9, 2023
概括
经历当地创纪录的炎热天数增加了对日益严重的炎热的信念,尤其是在气候怀疑论者中. 这一发现突显了特定天气事件对气候变化感知的影响.
科学领域:
- 环境心理学 环境心理学
- 气候科学传播 气候科学传播
背景情况:
- 像热浪这样的有形天气事件可以加强对气候变化的信念.
- 抽象的气象构造,如创纪录的炎热天,对气候变化的感知的影响不太清楚.
研究的目的:
- 调查当地超出绝对温度的创纪录的炎热天是否会影响人们对日益严重的炎热的看法.
- 检查这些影响在不同的人口和政治群体之间有何差异.
主要方法:
- 与2022年美国各县的调查数据相匹配的历史记录热天数据.
- 采用了平均气温,极端炎热天气和人口因素的统计控制.
主要成果:
- 在一个县的每一个创纪录的炎热天,都显著增加了人们对日益严重的过度炎热的看法.
- 十六个创纪录的炎热天对人们的看法产生了类似的影响,就像民主党人和独立党人之间的差异一样.
- 这种效应在共和党人,气候变化怀疑论者和保守媒体消费者中得到了放大.
结论:
- 当地创纪录的高温事件显然影响了公众对气候变化的看法.
- 媒体对创纪录的高温的描述值得进一步调查,因为它对公众论的影响.
- 针对气候变化怀疑的受众,可能需要有针对性的沟通策略.
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