动物疾病隐藏的碳影响
Tarek Soliman1, Andrew Barnes1, Irmelin Slettemoen Helgesen2
1Scotland's Rural College (SRUC), Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
PloS one
|October 10, 2023
概括
异国动物疾病的爆发会造成间接的经济成本,并改变碳排放. 口病导致了最大的温室气体 (GHG) 排放减少,与非洲猪瘟不同.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 农业经济学 农业经济学
- 气候变化 气候变化
背景情况:
- 畜牧业生产显著影响温室气体 (GHG) 排放.
- 动物疾病的爆发会给生产者带来经济成本,并影响消费者对肉制品的需求.
- 由于疾病爆发而导致肉类消费的转变可能会影响碳排放.
研究的目的:
- 量化与四种主要的异国动物病相关的间接经济成本和随后的碳排放:非洲猪瘟,绵羊天花,蓝舌热和口病.
- 分析不同疫情严重程度如何影响这些成本和排放.
- 探索疾病引起的消费转变与温室气体排放之间的联系.
主要方法:
- 利用矢量错误校正模型来量化间接成本.
- 预计牲畜和料市场收入的变化.
- 关联消费开关具有排放因子来计算碳影响.
主要成果:
- 间接成本和温室气体排放量减少因疾病类型和严重程度而异.
- 估计平均在0.005至0.67万二氧化碳当量之间.
- 由于牛肉消费的转变,口病导致了最高的间接成本和最大的温室气体减少.
- 非洲猪瘟显示了与工业养猪相关的温室气体减少最少.
结论:
- 异国动物疾病的爆发有可量化的间接经济和碳排放后果.
- 疾病管理和补偿策略可能为过渡到低排放畜牧业提供机会.
- 需要一个整体的政府方法来利用疾病爆发来实现净零农业承诺.
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