工业结构升级,人口老龄化和移民:基于中国省级面板数据的经验研究
Dan Ma1, Kai Zhou2, Jingwen Xu1
1School of Finance and Economics, Wuxi Institute of Technology, Wuxi, Jiangsu, China.
PloS one
|October 12, 2023
概括
中国人口老龄化阻碍了工业升级,但人口迁移可以缓解这种影响. 在人口变化中,有序的移民是可持续工业发展的关键.
科学领域:
- 社会科学 社会科学 社会科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
背景情况:
- 人口老龄化和移民是中国社会发展的关键驱动力.
- 这些人口变化对工业结构升级产生了重大影响.
- 了解它们的相互作用对于经济政策至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查人口迁移对人口老龄化对中国工业结构升级的影响的缓解效应.
- 利用2000年至2021年省级小组数据分析这种关系.
主要方法:
- 利用了2000年至2021年的中国省级面板数据.
- 采用计量经济学分析来研究人口迁移的缓和作用.
主要成果:
- 确认人口老龄化严重阻碍了中国的工业结构升级.
- 证明人口迁移对这种关系产生了有意义的缓和作用.
- 由移民驱动的经济因素扩散和趋同发挥着作用.
结论:
- 人口迁移在人口老龄化和工业结构升级之间的关系中起着至关重要的调节作用.
- 战略性和有序的人口迁移政策对于老龄化社会中稳定和可持续的工业升级至关重要.
- 这项研究为应对中国经济发展中的人口学挑战提供了洞察力.
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