邻里贫困梯度和儿童身体虐待和忽视:贝叶斯空间模型
1Colleges of Public Health and Social Work, 352 Cunz Hall, Columbus, OH 43017, United States of America.
Child abuse & neglect
|October 16, 2023
概括
社会贫困显著增加了虐待和忽视儿童的风险. 非常贫困的社区显示,实证的身体虐待和忽视案件的比率要高得多.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 社会流行病学 社会流行病学
- 儿童福利 儿童福利
背景情况:
- 虐待和忽视儿童是一个重大的公共卫生问题,具有持久的负面后果.
- 之前的研究还没有量化社会剥夺对美国儿童虐待风险的影响.
研究的目的:
- 调查区域层面的社会贫困与有根据的身体虐待和忽视的风险之间的联系.
- 分析线性和非线性关系,考虑空间和随机效应.
主要方法:
- 利用经证实的儿童虐待和2008-2015年新墨西哥州伯纳利洛县人口数据.
- 采用贝叶斯空间回归来建模区域级贫困对虐待风险的影响.
主要成果:
- 超过40%的社区超出了县平均风险的身体虐待或忽视.
- 最贫困的社区的确诊病例比预期的多了71%-72%.
- 区域层面的贫困占实证身体虐待和忽视的变化率的47-51%.
结论:
- 社会贫困是虐待儿童的地理差异的一个关键驱动因素.
- 调查结果可以为针对性干预和对高风险地区的资源分配提供信息.
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