家庭优势和裁判偏见:对联盟级别差异的比较分析
1Department of Coaching Education, Akdeniz University, Antalya, Turkey.
Perceptual and motor skills
|October 17, 2023
概括
在土耳其足球联赛中,主场优势 (HA) 是很重要的,它会影响比赛结果. 然而,这项研究没有发现精英或次精英级别的裁判偏见的证据.
科学领域:
- 运动科学 运动科学 运动科学
- 足球分析 足球分析
- 体育心理学 体育心理学
背景情况:
- 家庭优势 (HA) 和裁判偏见是足球 (足球) 中记录良好的现象.
- 之前的研究已经探讨了这些因素,但不同联赛水平的分析仍然至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查土耳其两大足球联赛中主场优势 (HA) 和裁判偏见的存在和程度.
- 将这些现象在精英 (一级) 和次精英 (二级) 联盟层面进行比较.
主要方法:
- 分析了2022-2023赛季土耳其两大联赛的632场比赛.
- 在主场和客场球队之间对比赛结果变量 (积分,进球,投篮,传球,球权) 的统计比较.
- 用贝叶斯因子分析来评估裁判偏见,特别是在惩罚方面.
主要成果:
- 在两个联盟中,在多个指标 (积分,进球,投篮,控球) 中观察到有利于主队的统计学上显著差异,证实了HA.
- 在考虑贝叶斯因子后,在任何联盟中都没有发现统计学上显著的裁判偏见.
- 虽然一级球队在罚款上有差异,但在与贝叶斯因子分析时,这在统计学上并不显著;二级球队没有偏见.
结论:
- 在土耳其的精英和次精英足球联赛中,主场优势是一个明显而持久的现象.
- 这项研究没有发现证据支持在分析的联赛中存在裁判偏见的存在.
- 这些发现强调了主场优势在职业足球中的持续重要性.
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