使用支持矢量机器和基于蜂自动机的ANN模型来检测LULC变化,在埃塞俄比亚阿巴伊盆地的Guna Tana流域,埃塞俄比亚
Damte Tegegne Fetene1, Tarun Kumar Lohani2, Abdella Kemal Mohammed1
1Hydraulic and Water Resources Engineering, AWTI, Arba Minch University, Arba Minch, Ethiopia.
Environmental monitoring and assessment
|October 17, 2023
概括
城市化和农业扩张正在推动古纳塔纳流域的土地覆盖变化. 这项研究使用了支持向量机 (SVM) 和基于蜂自动机的人工神经网络 (CA-ANN) 模型来分析和预测这些土地使用土地覆盖 (LULC) 动态.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 遥感 遥感 遥感 遥感
- 地理信息系统 (GIS) 是指地理信息系统.
背景情况:
- 土地使用 土地覆盖面 (LULC) 在古纳塔纳流域的变化是一个持续的问题,由日益增长的城市化和农业扩张驱动.
- 这些反复发生的变化给水资源管理和流域安全带来了挑战.
研究的目的:
- 识别和预测古纳塔纳流域频繁发生的LULC变化.
- 分析城市化,农田,草原和森林覆盖面的趋势.
- 为有效的水资源管理和流域规划提供见解.
主要方法:
- 使用多时间卫星图像 (Landsat 5 TM,ETM+,OLI) 来进行LULC分类.
- 雇员支持矢量机器 (SVM) 用于监督分类和基于蜂自动机的人工神经网络 (CA-ANN) 模型在QGIS MOLUSCE插件内进行预测.
- 在ArcGIS 10.4中使用混矩阵与地面真实数据和Google Earth Pro评估准确性,实现高卡帕统计数据 (0.78,0.83,0.88为1991年,2007年,2021年).
主要成果:
- 在整个研究期 (1991-2021年) 中,城市土地覆盖率呈现出一致的增长趋势.
- 未来的预测表明,农业用地将大幅增加,到2035年可能达到86.79%,到2049年可能达到86.78%.
- 预计森林土地将大幅减少 (0.01%),而草原在2035年至2049年之间可能略有减少 (0.03%).
结论:
- 古纳塔纳流域正在经历显著的LULC转移,主要是由城市和农业扩张推动的.
- 预测模型预测农业用地继续占主导地位,森林覆盖率下降.
- 审慎的规划和有效的实施对于解决水资源管理问题和确保流域可持续性至关重要.
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